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TRADE

Why FDI in the US May Not Be the Right Move for Canadian Businesses

Setting up a physical presence in the United States — a subsidiary, a facility, a direct investment — is often framed as the natural next step for a growing Canadian business. It can be the right move. It's also a bigger, less reversible commitment than most of the alternatives, and it deserves more scrutiny than it often gets.

The commitment is harder to unwind

Exporting into a market lets you scale exposure up or down relatively quickly. A US subsidiary comes with employees, leases, US tax obligations, and regulatory registration that don't unwind on the same timeline if the market doesn't perform as expected.

Cross-border tax and legal complexity is real, not theoretical

US entity structures interact with Canadian tax residency, transfer pricing rules, and state-level regulation in ways that are easy to underestimate from the outside. The cost of getting this structure wrong — corrected after the fact rather than planned properly from the start — is often far higher than the legal fees would have been to set it up right.

Trade policy uncertainty cuts both ways

FDI is sometimes pitched as a hedge against tariff risk — produce inside the US, avoid the tariff. That can be true, but it also means betting a larger, harder-to-reverse investment on US market and policy conditions specifically, which is the opposite of diversification if the US is already your dominant market.

The honest question to ask first

Before committing capital to a US entity, it's worth asking whether the goal — market access, tariff mitigation, proximity to customers — could be achieved through a lighter-weight structure: a distributor relationship, a trade agreement's preferential treatment, or a smaller pilot presence. FDI is a legitimate strategy for the right business. It's just a much bigger decision than it's sometimes treated as.

Weigh FDI against other expansion paths with an honest, risk-based assessment.

Talk through your options